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Critical Analysis • 22 min read

Web3 Is Going Just Great

A documented chronicle of disasters, failures, and frauds: $150+ billion lost, millions of victims, and the harsh reality behind the Web3 hype—with receipts

Updated: November 2024
100+ Failures Documented
No Sugarcoating
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"Web3 is going just great" is a phrase that has become deeply ironic in the crypto community. Originally the title of Molly White's meticulously documented timeline of Web3 disasters, it now represents the gap between promise and reality.

While enthusiasts proclaimed Web3 would democratize finance, empower creators, and decentralize the internet, the actual track record tells a different story: $150+ billion lost to fraud, hacks, and collapses. Millions of retail investors wiped out. Projects that promised revolution delivering only rugpulls.

This isn't FUD (Fear, Uncertainty, Doubt). This is documentation. Every disaster listed here is real, verified, and sourced. If Web3 is going to succeed, we need to acknowledge what's broken instead of pretending everything is fine.

The Carnage: By the Numbers (2021-2024)

$150B+
Total Losses
Fraud, hacks, collapses combined
15M+
Victims
People who lost money
2,291
Documented Failures
Per Web3 Is Going Great (2024)

Breakdown of Losses:

Exchange Collapses (FTX, Celsius, Voyager, etc.) $52B
Terra/Luna Death Spiral $60B
Hacks & Exploits (2021-2024) $15B
NFT Rugpulls & Scams $8B
Ponzi Schemes (BitConnect, OneCoin, etc.) $10B
Other Scams, Rug Pulls, Failed Projects $5B+

Sources: Chainalysis, Elliptic, FBI IC3 Reports, bankruptcy filings, verified media reports

The Pattern is Clear

This isn't a few isolated incidents. It's a systemic pattern:

  1. 1. Project launches with revolutionary promises ("We're changing finance/art/gaming!")
  2. 2. Token price pumps on hype, celebrity endorsements, FOMO
  3. 3. Retail investors pile in at peak ("generational wealth opportunity")
  4. 4. Insiders dump, project collapses, or reveals itself as scam
  5. 5. Founders disappear or claim "market conditions" killed it
  6. 6. Retail left holding worthless bags, no recourse

This cycle has repeated thousands of times. Here are the most spectacular failures.

The Hall of Shame: Top 10 Web3 Disasters

Detailed breakdowns of the most catastrophic failures—with real numbers, real victims, real consequences.

1

FTX Exchange Collapse

FRAUD November 2022
$32B
Lost

What Happened:

Sam Bankman-Fried (SBF) built FTX into the world's 3rd-largest crypto exchange. Raised $2B from top VCs (Sequoia, BlackRock, Softbank). Promised "regulation, transparency, safety." Reality: He was secretly using $8B in customer deposits to fund risky bets at his hedge fund Alameda Research.

The Lies:
  • • "FTX never touches customer funds" (SBF, 2022)
  • • Fake balance sheets shown to investors
  • • "We're the most regulated exchange" (false)
  • • Backdoor in code allowing unlimited withdrawals
The Collapse:
  • • Nov 2: CoinDesk exposes Alameda's balance sheet
  • • Nov 6-8: Bank run, $6B withdrawal requests
  • • Nov 9: Trading halted, funds frozen
  • • Nov 11: FTX files bankruptcy, $8B missing
Victims
1M+
Customers locked out
Sentencing
25 years
SBF prison sentence (2024)
Recovery
~70%
Expected recovery rate
Lesson: "Too big to fail" doesn't exist in crypto. Even exchanges with celebrity endorsements, VC backing, and regulatory theater can be complete frauds. SBF donated millions to politicians while stealing billions from customers.
2

Terra/Luna Death Spiral

DESIGN FLAW May 2022
$60B
Evaporated

The Algorithmic Stablecoin Experiment:

Do Kwon created UST, an "algorithmic stablecoin" supposed to maintain $1 peg without collateral. Mechanism: mint LUNA to absorb UST supply shocks. If UST drops to $0.98, burn UST to mint LUNA (reducing supply). If UST rises to $1.02, burn LUNA to mint UST (increasing supply). Seemed clever. Was catastrophically flawed.

May 7, 2022 (Before):
  • • UST: $18.7B supply, $1.00 peg stable
  • • LUNA: $41B market cap, $119/token
  • • Anchor Protocol offering 20% APY on UST
  • • Do Kwon: "I'm extremely confident"
May 13, 2022 (After 6 days):
  • • UST: Lost peg, trading at $0.10
  • • LUNA: Hyperinflated to 6.5 trillion supply
  • • LUNA price: $0.00001
  • • Do Kwon: Disappeared, now fugitive
How It Died: Large UST holder dumped $285M → UST depegged to $0.985 → Panic selling → Algorithm minted trillions of LUNA → LUNA price collapsed → UST confidence destroyed → Total system failure in 72 hours.
Victims
280K+
Wallet holders wiped out
Recovery
$0
Zero recovery possible
Suicides
Multiple
Reported in Korea, globally
Lesson: Algorithmic stablecoins don't work. You can't maintain $1 peg purely with market incentives during panic. All attempts (UST, IRON, Basis Cash, ESD) have failed. Only overcollateralized stablecoins (USDC, DAI) survive crashes.
3

Three Arrows Capital (3AC)

OVER-LEVERAGE June 2022
$10B+
Assets Lost

The Contagion Catalyst:

3AC was the most prestigious crypto hedge fund. Founders Su Zhu & Kyle Davies: celebrities in crypto Twitter, yacht parties, "super cycle" predictions. Managed $10B+. Borrowed billions from every major crypto lender (Celsius, BlockFi, Voyager, Genesis). Used leverage to bet big on LUNA, other alts. When Terra collapsed, 3AC imploded—taking half the industry with it.

The Cascade:

May 2022: Terra/LUNA collapse → 3AC had $559M in LUNA (wiped out) → Also held $200M in stETH (locked, illiquid) → Lenders demand repayment → 3AC can't pay → June 15: Liquidated → Owes $3.5B to creditors → Founders flee to Dubai

Who They Killed:

Voyager Digital: Loaned $650M to 3AC, never repaid → Bankruptcy
BlockFi: Loaned $1B+ → Eventually bankrupt
Genesis: Loaned $2.4B → Parent company DCG nearly collapsed
Celsius: Indirect exposure → Also bankrupt

Lesson: Crypto's "smart money" is often leveraged degenerates. 3AC borrowed billions with minimal collateral because lenders trusted their reputation. No risk management. When market turned, contagion spread instantly through interconnected lending.

7 More Catastrophic Failures (Quick List)

4

Celsius Network

Loss: $4.7B
Victims: 1.7M users
Scam: Promised 18% yields, used deposits for risky DeFi gambling, couldn't repay
Status: Founder Alex Mashinsky arrested (2023)
5

Ronin Bridge Hack

Loss: $625M (largest DeFi hack)
Attacker: North Korea (Lazarus Group)
Method: Compromised 5 of 9 validator keys
Status: Partial funds recovered, bridge resumed
6

BitConnect

Loss: $2.5B
Victims: Millions globally
Scam: Classic Ponzi, promised 1% daily returns
Status: Founders indicted, some still at large
7

Squid Game Token

Loss: $3.4M (in minutes)
Scam: Netflix show hype, token couldn't be sold
Method: Classic rugpull, founders vanished
Status: Never caught, funds gone
8

OneCoin

Loss: $4B+
Victims: 3M+ globally
Scam: No actual blockchain, pure Ponzi
Status: Founder "Cryptoqueen" still missing
9

Mt. Gox Hack

Loss: 850K BTC (~$500M then, $45B+ now)
Year: 2014
Cause: Exchange hack/mismanagement
Status: Creditors still waiting 10 years later
10

Bored Ape Yacht Club Discord Hack

Loss: $200M+ in NFTs stolen (multiple incidents)
Method: Phishing links in Discord, fake mints
Victims: Hundreds of collectors
Status: Most NFTs unrecoverable
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The Systemic Problems (Why It Keeps Happening)

These aren't random accidents. They're predictable outcomes of structural flaws in Web3's design and culture.

1. "Code Is Law" Until It's Not

The Ideology: Smart contracts are "trustless" and "immutable"—code executes exactly as programmed, no human intervention. The Reality: Code has bugs. Hackers exploit them. Victims lose everything. Then everyone begs for bailouts.

Famous Example: The DAO Hack (2016)

  • • $150M stolen via recursive call exploit
  • • Hacker: "I followed the code as written"
  • • Ethereum community: "Code is law!"
  • • Also Ethereum: Hard forked to return funds
  • Revealed "immutability" is negotiable

The Ongoing Problem:

  • $15B+ stolen in smart contract hacks (2021-2024)
  • • Most users can't audit Solidity code
  • • "Audited" doesn't mean secure (auditors miss bugs)
  • • No insurance, no recourse when hacked
  • "DYOR" = victim blaming

2. Pseudonymous Founders = Zero Accountability

The Culture: Web3 celebrates "anon devs" as privacy-loving cypherpunks. The Reality: Anonymity enables rugpulls. When project collapses, founder vanishes—no arrests, no asset seizures, no justice.

By The Numbers:

$2.8B
Stolen in rugpulls (2023 alone)
90%
Rugpull founders never caught
4 min
Average time to drain liquidity
Why Traditional Finance Requires KYC: When you manage other people's money, you need verifiable identity. If you commit fraud, you go to prison. Web3 treats this as "tyranny." Result: Scammers thrive.

3. Greater Fool Economics

The Business Model: Most Web3 projects don't generate revenue. They issue tokens. Token goes up if more people buy than sell. That's it. That's a Ponzi.

How It Works:

  1. 1. Launch token with "revolutionary" whitepaper
  2. 2. Early investors buy cheap (insiders, VCs)
  3. 3. Hype cycle begins (Twitter, Discord, influencers paid)
  4. 4. Retail FOMO in at peak ("Don't miss out!")
  5. 5. Insiders dump on retail, price crashes
  6. 6. Project "pivots" or disappears
  7. 7. Retail left holding worthless tokens

Real Data on Token Performance:

  • 95% of tokens launched in 2021-2022 are down >90% (CoinGecko)
  • 70% of NFT collections have zero trading volume (dappGambl)
  • Average lifespan: 3 months before abandonment
  • VC-backed tokens: Retail buys at 10-100x VC entry price
Warren Buffett on Crypto: "It doesn't produce anything. You're hoping the next guy pays more than you did. That's not investing, that's speculating."

4. "Not Your Keys, Not Your Coins" (But Also Your Problem)

The Mantra: Self-custody is freedom. Don't trust exchanges. The Reality: 99% of people can't secure their own crypto. One phishing link = life savings gone forever.

If You Use Exchange:

  • • Exchange gets hacked → You lose money
  • • Exchange commits fraud → You lose money
  • • Exchange goes bankrupt → You lose money
  • • Government seizes exchange → You lose money
  • Examples: FTX, Mt. Gox, QuadrigaCX

If You Self-Custody:

  • • Lose seed phrase → Money gone forever
  • • Get phished → Money gone forever
  • • Sign wrong transaction → Money gone forever
  • • Hardware wallet breaks → Money gone if no backup
  • $5.6B lost to scams in 2023 (FBI)
The Catch-22: Traditional banks have problems (fractional reserve, bailouts, fees). But they also have: FDIC insurance, fraud protection, account recovery. Web3 offers neither custody safety NOR self-custody simplicity. Worst of both worlds for average users.

5. Toxic Culture: WAGMI, Diamond Hands, FUD

The Problem: Web3 communities actively suppress criticism. Questioning a project = "FUD" (Fear, Uncertainty, Doubt). Raising concerns = "weak hands." Cult-like groupthink prevents rational evaluation.

The Vocabulary of Delusion:

• "WAGMI" (We're All Gonna Make It):
Translation: Ignore fundamentals, believe in collective delusion
• "Diamond Hands":
Translation: Hold through crashes (so insiders can exit)
• "HODL" (Hold On for Dear Life):
Translation: Don't sell even when you should
• "FUD":
Translation: Any criticism, even valid concerns
• "NGMI" (Not Gonna Make It):
Translation: Attack skeptics instead of addressing concerns
• "Have Fun Staying Poor":
Translation: Insult those who don't buy your bags
Real Impact: People who questioned Terra/Luna early were harassed. Critics of FTX were called "haters." Warnings about Celsius dismissed as "FUD." Groupthink killed critical thinking, enabling fraud to thrive longer.
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So Is Web3 Just a Scam?

The Honest Answer: Not ALL of It

The technology works. Blockchain is real. Smart contracts execute. Decentralization delivers censorship resistance. Stablecoins process $15T annually. Ethereum hasn't failed in 9 years. Core infrastructure is functional.

But 95% of Web3 projects ARE scams, failures, or speculation disguised as innovation. The signal-to-noise ratio is abysmal. For every Uniswap (functional, revenue-generating), there are 1,000 pump-and-dump tokens with anime mascots.

✓ What Actually Works

  • Stablecoins: $170B supply, real payments use case
  • Bitcoin: Store of value (debatable, but hasn't failed)
  • Ethereum: Settlement layer generating revenue
  • Uniswap/Aave: DeFi protocols with real users
  • ENS: Decentralized identity that functions
  • RWA tokenization: Institutions actually building

✗ What's Bullshit

  • 95% of altcoins: Zero utility, pure speculation
  • NFT PFPs: Worthless JPEGs, no value retention
  • Metaverse land: Ghost towns, no demand
  • "Play-to-earn" games: Ponzis requiring new players
  • Algorithmic stablecoins: All have failed
  • Most DAOs: Governance theater, insiders control

The Pattern Recognition Framework

How to Spot Web3 Scams/Failures Before They Happen:

  1. 1. Anonymous founders + VC backing = Exit scam waiting to happen
  2. 2. "Revolutionary" claims with no working product = Vaporware
  3. 3. Unsustainable yields (>10% APY) = Ponzi mechanics
  4. 4. Celebrity endorsements = Paid shilling, dump incoming
  5. 5. "Get in early" urgency = FOMO manipulation
  6. 6. Complex tokenomics that require PhD = Obfuscation of scam
  7. 7. Promises of "passive income" = Greater fool required
  8. 8. Community suppresses criticism = Cult, not product

What MUST Change for Web3 to Not Be a Dumpster Fire

1. Actual Regulation (Yes, Really)

KYC for founders. If you're managing $100M+, we need to know who you are. Anonymous rugpulls can't continue. Clear rules on what's a security. Enforcement against fraud.

2. Stop Calling Everything "Decentralized"

If founders have admin keys, multisig controls 90% of tokens, or project relies on centralized servers—it's not decentralized. Stop lying about it.

3. Fix the Incentives

Build projects that generate revenue from usage, not token appreciation. Uniswap charges fees. Copy that model. Stop creating tokens for the sake of token pumps.

4. Better Security Standards

Mandatory audits for protocols holding >$10M. Bug bounties. Insurance funds. $15B in hacks is unacceptable. Traditional finance has better security than "trustless" smart contracts.

5. Kill the Cult Culture

Criticism isn't "FUD"—it's necessary due diligence. Communities that suppress skepticism enable fraud. Encourage critical thinking, not blind faith.

6. Admit the UX Sucks

Seed phrases, gas fees, bridge exploits—normal people can't use this. Either fix UX to Web2 standards or admit Web3 is only for tech enthusiasts.

The Verdict: Web3 Is Going... Terribly

$150+ billion lost. Millions of victims. Thousands of scams. A few working products buried under mountains of fraud. That's the track record.

Does that mean blockchain technology has no future? No. Stablecoins work. Bitcoin hasn't failed. Ethereum processes real transactions. RWA tokenization shows promise. But the current implementation of Web3 is a disaster.

For Web3 to Work:

  • 95% of current projects need to die (they will—markets clearing fraud)
  • Regulation needs to happen (unpopular but necessary)
  • Culture needs to mature (less hype, more building)
  • UX needs to not suck (actually usable by normies)
  • Stop celebrating scammers (Do Kwon got standing ovations before collapse)

Until then? Web3 is going just great—if by "great" you mean a chaotic mix of revolutionary technology, spectacular fraud, naive idealism, and predatory capitalism that's destroyed more wealth than it's created.

Document the failures. Learn from them. Demand better.
Or watch history repeat until Web3 actually deserves the hype.

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Inspiration: This article was inspired by Molly White's "Web3 Is Going Just Great" timeline, which meticulously documents Web3 disasters. Visit web3isgoinggreat.com for real-time updates on the latest failures.